Monday, November 20, 2017

Fourth Thursday in November

As we approach Thanksgiving in the United States, I felt it appropriate to include a hymn of Thanksgiving for Monday Melody #104

The Doxology
Thomas Ken

Praise God from whom all blessings flow
Praise Him all creatures here below
Praise Him above ye heavenly host
Praise Father, Son, and Holy Ghost
  AMEN.



Saturday, November 11, 2017

Veterans

1. The City of Leavenworth is proud to host "The oldest Veterans Day observance in the nation and the largest parade west of the Mississippi.", later today.  LINK.

2.  Is the recent phenomenon of sports players kneeling during the playing of the national anthem disrespectful to veterans?

**yeah, let's go there.**
  • It is apparent that this practice is successful as far as getting attention to the players.  Not sure how effective it is to what they say their cause is (either racial injustice or perceived slights or resisting current POTUS)
  • Short term, it's a relatively inexpensive way to protest.  Long term, it's risky, also see the career of Kapernick, C.
  • Reminds me of when the Dixie Chicks exercised their 1st Amendment rights to diss President GW Bush...and country music stations exercised their rights to play other people's music.
  • There is injustice (although not as bad as a century ago, still a problem) that needs to be addressed.  But I don't think the protests or the picket signs across from the police station are changing anything.
  • I'm very curious as to the reaction if a Jehovah's Witness was playing in a major US sports league and refused to stand and salute the flag on religious grounds. Also see WV State BoE vs Barnette in 1943.
  • If I was the NFL commissioner, I'd be more worried about concussions and head trauma.
  • Way way too late for the commissioner to shut the door on this.  Any decision now would alienate millions of fans one way or the other. And team owners could've made league rules in 2017 offseason, but didn't.
  • The actions of Kaepernick, Peters, etc. should be of far less concern to fans and owners than the actions of Carruth, Belcher, etc.
  • President Trump's decision to double down on demanding respect to the flag and the anthem...it's starting to sound like Daniel 3.
  • What belongs to Caesar, and what belongs to God?

Saturday, November 4, 2017

Replacing Winner-Take-All

So, using Wikipedia's pages for the results for all the presidential elections since Dewey Defeats Truman (1948), I ran an experiment.

Experiment:  For each state and the District of Columbia,
Electoral Votes are assigned using Largest Remainder Method, () dividing total votes per candidate by electoral votes; then rounding up or down depending on the remainder.

If the resulting electoral votes don't reach a majority...
  Using 12th Amendment...
  Each state gets 1 vote, voted if the state doesn't have a deadlock where D's = R's.
  If there's a Southern Democrat that the state voted for, the Southern Democrat gets the vote.

Result Summary
1) Any candidate who got 50% of the PV won the Proportional-EV, but never received more than 334 EV.
2) John Kennedy got 49.72% of the PV, and won with 270 P-EV (269 needed to win in 1960)
3) Any candidate who got less than 49.6% of the PV failed to win the Proportional-EV, and it went to the Congress.



YearWinnerEVPVP-EV LeaderP-EV ScoreHouseSenate
1948Truman3030.4955Truman258-226Truman 22Barkley 54
1952Eisenhower4420.5518Eisenhower291-240
1956Eisenhower4570.5737Eisenhower295-230
1960Kennedy3030.4972Kennedy270-262
1964Johnson4860.6105Johnson320-215
1968Nixon3010.4342Nixon235-225Humphrey 22Muskie 57
1972Nixon5200.6067Nixon334-203
1976Carter2970.5008Carter273-263
1980Reagan4890.5075Reagan276-224
1984Reagan5250.5877Reagan320-218
1988Bush4260.5377Bush290-248
1992Clinton3700.4301Clinton236-197Clinton 30Gore 57
1996Clinton3790.4923Clinton267-224Dole 28Kemp 55
2000Bush2710.4787Bush264-261Bush 2850-50
2004Bush2860.5073Bush280-258
2008Obama3650.5293Obama289-248
2012Obama3320.5106Obama276-260
2016Trump3040.4598Clinton261-259Trump 32Pence 52


1948 Truman, 8 PEV short, only wins 22 states in 1948.  If Truman is unable to get Thurmond to back him with his 3 states, then his VP Barkley becomes President with 54/96 Senate.  (Senate only gets to pick between 2)
    Possible VP for PREZ

1968 Nixon, 35 PEV short (thanks George Wallace, who goes from 46 EV to 78 PEV), only wins 18 states in 1968.  Even if Wallace's 6 states back Nixon, Nixon still only gets to 24.  If Wallace goes with Humphrey, who had 22 states, Humphrey gets the White House.  Otherwise, Muskie, Humphrey's VP candidate, becomes president with the backing of 57 Senators.
    Possible SWITCH, Possible SWITCH VP for PREZ

1992 Clinton, 34 PEV short (thanks Ross Perot, who goes from 0 EV to 105! PEV), wins in the House with 30 states.  VP Gore advances with 57 Senators.

1996 Clinton, 3 PEV short (thanks Ross Perot, who goes from 0 EV to 46 PEV) loses in the House - Dole and the Republican Revolution have 28 states and 55 Senators, giving Dole/Kemp the win.
    SWITCH

2000 Bush43, 6 PEV short (still close, Bush43 264 from 271; Gore 261 from 267; Nader! 13 PEV from 0), advances with 28 states in the House.  VP Cheney and Lieberman sit at an impasse at 50-50.  Unsure whether Gore would be able to cast tie-breaking vote; or whether Jeffords, who would later defect in mid 2001 would switch for Lieberman.
    Possible SWITCH VP

2016 Trump, 11 PEV short - and Clinton 9 PEV short.  Trump has 32 states, and Pence has 52 senators, putting the current administration in.

Tuesday, October 31, 2017

Ein feste Burg, or Reformation 500

I.  When our Lord and Master Jesus Christ said, ``Repent'' (Mt 4:17), he willed the entire life of believers to be one of repentance. 

Today marks the 500th anniversary of the posting of Martin Luther's 95 Theses, commonly considered the beginning of the Protestant Reformation.

So, yeah, MM#103 (on a Tuesday!) is rather predictable.

A Mighty Fortress Is Our God
Martin Luther
(Frederick Hedge translation)

A mighty fortress is our God,
a bulwark never failing;
our helper he, amid the flood
of mortal ills prevailing.
For still our ancient foe
does seek to work us woe;
his craft and power are great,
and armed with cruel hate,
on earth is not his equal.


Did we in our own strength confide,
our striving would be losing,
were not the right Man on our side,
the Man of God's own choosing.
You ask who that may be?
Christ Jesus, it is he;
Lord Sabaoth his name,
from age to age the same;
and he must win the battle.


And though this world, with devils filled,
should threaten to undo us,
we will not fear, for God has willed
his truth to triumph through us.
The prince of darkness grim,
we tremble not for him;
his rage we can endure,
for lo! his doom is sure;
one little word shall fell him.


That Word above all earthly powers
no thanks to them abideth;
the Spirit and the gifts are ours
through him who with us sideth.
Let goods and kindred go,
this mortal life also;
the body they may kill:
God's truth abideth still;
his kingdom is forever!

Monday, October 30, 2017

800-273-8255


I looked at the list of Monday Melodies.  And the ones I hinted that I'd eventually get to.
And on that first list was a haunting song.  (Not that kind of haunting.)

But...it was too close.  And too tricky to post anything besides the song itself.
Hell, to post the song would be to invite questions.

And - if you want to see where I've come from - depression - just look at the blogs titled depression.

BUT...I concede that my family is lucky.  Damn lucky.

As far as I know, on the family tree, we haven't lost anyone to suicide (currently a more dangerous killer than homicide).

I think about my friend from Illinois at MWSC...I think she said she'd had a relative...
I think about my other friend from Beshears hall...who had to call a father with severe concerns...
I think about my other friend in Leavenworth...freaking out about an out-of-state friend...

 This too will pass

 MM#102

For Annie
Petra

No one ever noticed Annie weeping
People all around, but she was all alone
Mama's got her meetings, Daddy's got his job
and no one's got the time so Annie's on her own

No one ever knew her desperation
People couldn't hear her cry out silently
Locked inside the bathroom she grabs a jar of pills
The medicine that cures becomes the poison that kills

[Chorus]
And it's too late for Annie, she's gone away for good
There's so much we could tell her and now we wish we could
But it's too late, it's too late for Annie

Sadness fills the hearts of Annie's family
Daddy tries to comfort Mama uselessly
They hoped she knew they loved her, but they really didn't know
They just want to know why did their baby go

[2nd Chorus]
And it's too late for Annie, she's gone away for good
There's so much we could tell her and now we wish we could
We would tell her Jesus loves her, tell her Jesus cares
Tell her He can free her and her burdens bear
But it's too late, it's too late for Annie

If only we had known her situation,
We'd have tried to stop this useless tragedy
Annie's lost forever, never to be found
But there are lots of others like her all around

[3rd Chorus]
And it's not too late for Annie, she could be next to you
Don't miss the chance to tell her before her life is through
We gotta tell her Jesus loves her, tell her Jesus cares
Tell her He can free her and her burdens bear
Tell her Jesus loves her, tell her Jesus cares
Tell her He can free her and her burdens bear
You've got to tell her Jesus loves her, tell her Jesus cares
Tell her He can free her and her burdens bear
It's not too late

Monday, October 23, 2017

Ungrateful rascal

So...Pastor preached about complaining.  And how God doesn't like it.  And he used a lot of verses about the grumbling mumbling ungrateful children of Israel.  Whining about the food.  Whining about the water.  Whining about meat.  Whining about the giants.  Whining about being told they weren't going to the promised land.  Whining about everything.

And, this song came to mind.  I told Pastor Michael to youtube it. 

God knows I need this sermon on at least a monthly basis.  I'm terrible about complaining and need to be reminded to be grateful.  (Another song about gratitude is on my list for MMs later this year, closer to Christmas)

And...if God has provided me everything I need...for me to complain is for me to be ungrateful and to say that I know better than the Almighty...YIKES!

--------------
MM#101
So You Wanna Go Back to Egypt
Keith Green


So you wanna go back to Egypt
Where it's warm and secure
Are sorry you bought the one way ticket
When you thought you were sure
You wanted to live in the land of promise
But now it's getting so hard
Are you sorry you're out here in the desert
Instead of your own back yard

Eating leaks and onions by the Nile
Ooh what breath for dining out in style
Ooh, my life's on the skids
Building the pyramids

Well there's nothing do but travel
And we sure travel a lot
'Cause it's hard to keep your feet from moving
When the sand gets so hot
And in the morning it's manna hotcakes
We snack on manna all day
And we sure had a winner last night for dinner
Flaming manna souffle

Well we once complained for something new to munch
The ground opened up and had some of us for lunch
Ooh, such fire and smoke
Can't God even take a joke? Huh? NO!

So you wanna to back to Egypt
Where your friends wait for you
You can throw a big party and tell the whole gang
Of what they said was all true
And this Moses acts like a big shot
Who does he think he is?
Well it's true that God works lots of miracles
But Moses thinks they're all his

Oh we're having so much trouble even now
Why'd he get so mad about that c-c-c-cow (that golded calf)
Moses seems rather idle
He just sits around, he just sits around and writes the Bible!

Oh, Moses, put down your pen!
What? Oh no, manna again?

Oh, manna waffles
Manna burgers
Manna bagels
Fillet of manna
Manna patty
BaManna bread!

Monday, October 16, 2017

On this day...and MM#01

From my Xanga of Friday, October 5, 2007
"2.  MONDAY MELODIES.  Starting next week, I'll be blogging on a song of my choice.  Recommendations may be accepted or ignored at my choosing.  Like my twin, I also did a musical bracket.  Once.  Based solely on music I had on my computer that day.  Took me two weeks, but I found the winning song, so it gets first billing. "

It would be fitting for me to go back to MM#89, since today marks 19 years since the Phil Driscoll concert at Word of Life Church in St. Joseph, MO - the church I attended for 12 years.  (The church I got married in.  The church my children were dedicated in.  The church my children were baptized in.)

Or we could go back to MM#01...
Yeah.
We're going back to MM#01.

From Word of Life's album "There With Me" in 2005

Beautiful Savior

Draw us near, Holy Lord
Do to us thy grace accord
True faith and love to us impart
That we might hold these in our hearts

    Beautiful Savior of wondrous love,
    Beautiful Savior, no other name above
    And I give my all to thee, completely,
    And follow you with all of me.

Jesus, name of wondrous love
Human name of God above
Leading only, this we plea
Helpless oh, our God to thee

    Beautiful Savior of wondrous love,
    Beautiful Savior, no other name above
    And I give my all to thee, completely,
    And follow you with all of me.

        Holy Jesus, every day
        Keep us in your narrow way
        Until at last we too proclaim
        With all the saints thy glorious name
        In paradise our songs renew
        And we'll praise you like the angels do
        Yes we will praise you like the angels do
        Yes we will praise you like the angels do
               
    Beautiful Savior of wondrous love,
    Beautiful Savior, no other name above
    And I give my all to thee, completely,
    And follow you with all of me.

    Beautiful Savior of wondrous love,
    Beautiful Savior, no other name above
    And I give my all to thee, completely,
    And follow you with all of me.